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Newcastle

AMBER Market
111 suburbs scored NSW Median $932K
5
High Confidence
17
Moderate
5
Low Confidence
111
Total Suburbs

Top 10 Suburbs in Newcastle

# Suburb Type Tier Price Yield Heat
1 Awaba house STRONG BUY $735K 4.8% 97
2 Kurri Kurri unit STRONG BUY $490K 5.1% 99
3 Elermore Vale house HOLD $1.03M 4.0% 74
4 Valentine unit BUY $770K 3.8% 88
5 Lemon Tree Passage house STRONG BUY $816K 4.2% 92
6 Hawks Nest unit BUY $634K 3.6% 91
7 Tea Gardens house HOLD $900K 3.7% 75
8 Thornton unit BUY $730K 4.3% 82
9 Rathmines house STRONG BUY $835K 4.3% 85
10 Cessnock unit HOLD $550K 5.0% 71

Most Undervalued Suburbs

Suburbs trading below our fair value estimate based on demographics, income, and rental yield.

Kurri Kurri
STRONG BUY $490K
$490K · unit
Awaba
STRONG BUY $735K
$735K · house
Valentine
BUY $770K
$770K · unit
Hawks Nest
BUY $634K
$634K · unit
Lemon Tree Passage
STRONG BUY $816K
$816K · house

All Newcastle Suburbs

# Suburb Type Tier Price Yield Fair Value
1 Awaba house STRONG BUY $735K 4.8% +38.0%
1 Kurri Kurri unit STRONG BUY $490K 5.1% +40.2%
2 Elermore Vale house HOLD $1.03M 4.0% +27.3%
2 Valentine unit BUY $770K 3.8% +33.5%
3 Lemon Tree Passage house STRONG BUY $816K 4.2% +26.9%
3 Hawks Nest unit BUY $634K 3.6% +28.8%
4 Tea Gardens house HOLD $900K 3.7% +25.1%
4 Thornton unit BUY $730K 4.3% +19.2%
5 Rathmines house STRONG BUY $835K 4.3% +23.4%
5 Cessnock unit HOLD $550K 5.0% +18.8%
6 Bonnells Bay house STRONG BUY $860K 4.1% +23.2%
6 Merewether unit HOLD $932K 4.0% +17.4%
7 Merewether house BUY $2.01M 2.7% +23.0%
7 Charlestown unit BUY $713K 4.3% +16.8%
8 Fletcher house HOLD $977K 4.1% +21.3%
8 Morisset unit BUY $655K 3.8% +16.0%
9 Eleebana house BUY $1.24M 3.5% +20.5%
9 Nelson Bay unit HOLD $705K 4.1% +15.6%
10 Mount Hutton house BUY $845K 4.7% +20.3%
10 East Maitland unit BUY $565K 4.1% +13.2%
11 Glendale house BUY $988K 4.2% +19.7%
11 Mayfield unit HOLD $826K 4.0% +12.0%
12 Mayfield house BUY $1.18M 3.7% +18.8%
12 Mount Hutton unit HOLD $778K 4.2% +9.2%
13 Toronto house BUY $883K 4.0% +17.1%
13 Maitland unit HOLD $622K 4.0% +6.1%
14 Tenambit house BUY $788K 4.3% +14.9%
14 Waratah unit HOLD $735K 4.1% +6.0%
15 Singleton house HOLD $794K 5.0% +13.5%
15 Newcastle unit HOLD $1.27M 4.0% +5.7%
16 Branxton house HOLD $1.06M 3.6% +12.5%
16 Jesmond unit HOLD $665K 4.8% +5.3%
17 Metford house HOLD $825K 4.1% +12.3%
17 Belmont unit HOLD $650K 3.6% +4.8%
18 Rutherford house HOLD $836K 4.1% +12.3%
18 Warners Bay unit HOLD $888K 3.6% +4.3%
19 Morisset house BUY $872K 3.7% +12.0%
19 Adamstown unit HOLD $750K 4.2% +4.2%
20 Cardiff house BUY $914K 4.1% +11.3%
20 New Lambton unit AVOID $802K 4.2% +2.6%
21 Greta house BUY $835K 4.0% +10.9%
22 Windale house BUY $735K 4.1% +10.8%
23 Thornton house HOLD $951K 4.1% +10.4%
24 Kotara house HOLD $1.17M 3.7% +10.1%
25 Stockton house HOLD $1.40M 3.0% +9.7%
26 Charlestown house HOLD $1.11M 3.6% +9.7%
27 Cooks Hill house HOLD $1.83M 2.2% +9.0%
28 Barnsley house HOLD $880K 3.6% +8.7%
28 Fletcher unit HOLD $731K 5.0% +24.6%
28 Scone unit HOLD $370K 6.1% +25.4%
28 Swansea unit HOLD $780K 3.5% +6.3%
28 Cameron Park unit HOLD $765K 4.7% +8.9%
28 Toronto unit HOLD $729K 4.4% +18.9%
28 Wallsend unit HOLD $688K 4.3% +14.0%
28 Rutherford unit HOLD $565K 4.2% +9.8%
28 Lambton unit HOLD $760K 4.2% +15.7%
28 Shortland unit HOLD $680K 4.7% +8.9%
28 Hamilton unit HOLD $760K 3.8% +17.3%
28 Singleton unit HOLD $420K 5.6% +7.2%
28 Raymond Terrace unit HOLD $526K 5.2% +9.9%
28 Cooks Hill unit HOLD $930K 4.0% +8.8%
28 Muswellbrook unit HOLD $362K 6.1% +13.7%
28 Elermore Vale unit HOLD $690K 4.2% +8.4%
28 Cardiff unit HOLD $750K 3.7% +8.5%
29 Telarah house HOLD $756K 4.4% +8.5%
30 Swansea house HOLD $1.16M 3.7% +8.3%
31 Redhead house HOLD $1.72M 2.2% +7.8%
32 Nelson Bay house HOLD $1.08M 3.5% +7.6%
33 Warabrook house HOLD $1.10M 3.4% +7.5%
34 Bolton Point house HOLD $968K 3.7% +7.4%
35 Edgeworth house HOLD $878K 4.6% +7.3%
36 Waratah house HOLD $1.25M 3.7% +7.2%
37 Cessnock house HOLD $753K 4.1% +6.6%
38 Belmont house HOLD $1.10M 3.7% +6.5%
39 Dungog house HOLD $695K 3.6% +6.5%
40 Wallsend house HOLD $905K 4.0% +6.5%
41 Caves Beach house HOLD $1.65M 2.6% +6.1%
42 Kurri Kurri house HOLD $697K 4.1% +5.8%
43 Shortland house HOLD $862K 3.7% +5.8%
44 Aberglasslyn house HOLD $940K 3.5% +5.8%
45 Birmingham Gardens house HOLD $881K 3.6% +5.7%
46 Raymond Terrace house HOLD $809K 4.6% +5.6%
47 Tanilba Bay house HOLD $915K 3.7% +5.4%
48 Beresfield house HOLD $845K 4.2% +5.3%
49 New Lambton house HOLD $1.42M 3.4% +4.8%
50 Muswellbrook house HOLD $720K 4.2% +4.6%
51 Adamstown house HOLD $1.31M 3.3% +4.5%
52 East Maitland house HOLD $850K 4.1% +4.1%
53 Medowie house HOLD $1.19M 4.0% +3.1%
54 Hamilton house AVOID $1.36M 3.5% +2.9%
55 Hawks Nest house AVOID $1.42M 2.4% +1.6%
56 Blacksmiths house AVOID $1.75M 2.2% +1.3%
57 Warners Bay house AVOID $1.14M 3.8% +0.9%
66 Newcastle house HOLD $1.40M 3.0% +78.7%
66 Minmi house HOLD $1M 3.2% +4.9%
66 Pokolbin house HOLD $1.50M 2.2% +6.3%
66 Jesmond house HOLD $997K 3.4% +4.2%
66 Karuah house HOLD $840K 4.0% +7.5%
66 Stroud house HOLD $565K 5.5% +22.2%
66 The Junction house HOLD $1.14M 4.9% +39.4%
66 Fullerton Cove house HOLD $1.28M 2.8% +4.2%
66 Cameron Park house HOLD $935K 4.1% +5.6%
66 Teralba house HOLD $1.14M 3.7% +11.8%
66 Abermain house HOLD $725K 4.2% +12.6%
66 Scone house HOLD $605K 5.4% +21.9%
66 Maryland house HOLD $916K 4.4% +8.5%
66 Valentine house HOLD $1.28M 3.0% +14.4%
66 Dudley house HOLD $1.46M 2.7% +13.2%
66 Anna Bay house HOLD $1.02M 4.0% +13.0%
66 Maitland house HOLD $682K 4.1% +19.0%
66 Lambton house HOLD $1.34M 3.4% +8.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the best suburbs to buy in Newcastle?
Atlaso rates 5 suburbs in Newcastle as HIGH confidence for capital growth. Our top-ranked picks include Awaba, Kurri Kurri, Elermore Vale. These ratings are based on a 9-feature quantitative model with an out-of-sample AUC of 0.78-0.80.
Is now a good time to buy property in Newcastle?
The current market regime is AMBER. RED conditions signal elevated risk. Our model recommends caution during RED periods.

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Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).
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