Rental supply is extremely tight while prices are accelerating. This structural imbalance favours continued growth.
VERDICT
STRONG BUY
Supply Constrained Growth
DEMAND
58 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
29d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
13.6% vs 5yr
Neutral→
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Strong
Strong↑
YIELD
5.1%
Strong↑
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.2% vacancy
Strong↑
#1/36StrongStructure 100$490KTop 1.3% nationally
Atlaso rates Kurri Kurri units as STRONG BUY, our highest conviction rating. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.23%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, and rental yield of 5.1% provides strong cashflow support. Historically, 90% of suburbs we rate STRONG BUY grew more than 8% annually.
At $490K, Kurri Kurri ranks #1 of 36 units in Newcastle. The long-term structural outlook is Strong. Prices grew 8.3% over the past year.
Kurri Kurri Price History
All units · monthly median sale price
Market Intelligence
What's Happening Now
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
+64.3%
Asking Prices (3mo)
-4.9%
Rents (12mo)
0.7%
Vacancy ↑
65%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$623K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$491/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2327.
Suburb Profile
Kurri Kurri at a Glance
SEIFA Index
1/10
Most disadvantaged
Household Income
$1,248/wk
Median household
Median Age
39
Years
Mortgage Stress
26%
of income
Population Growth
+1.2%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
25.6%owned34.9%mortgage36.3%renting
Demographic Trends
Kurri Kurri Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Kurri Kurri Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Kurri Kurri as STRONG BUY confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Kurri Kurri and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Kurri Kurri?
The current median house price in Kurri Kurri, nsw is $490K, with annual growth of +40.2%. Properties sell in approximately 29 days.
How fast do properties sell in Kurri Kurri?
Properties in Kurri Kurri sell in 29 days on average. The market is currently rated Strong. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Kurri Kurri?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Kurri Kurri's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Kurri Kurri?
The gross rental yield for houses in Kurri Kurri is 5.1%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).