Atlaso rates Shortland houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.75%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Newcastle.
At $862K, Shortland ranks #42 of 74 houses in Newcastle. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Properties sell in just 24 days, reflecting urgent buyer demand.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Newcastle.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
+1.0%
Asking Prices (3mo)
-0.9%
Rents (12mo)
2.0%
Vacancy ↑
39%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$819K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$370/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2307.
Momentum Health
Monitor
45% stall probability
Shortland is growing at 19.8% annually but early warning signals are appearing. Watch for vacancy loosening or yield compression over the next quarter.
STALL RISK45%
Suburb Profile
Shortland at a Glance
SEIFA Index
3/10
Below average
Household Income
$1,344/wk
Median household
Median Age
33
Years
Mortgage Stress
29%
of income
Population Growth
+1.3%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
22.0%owned31.5%mortgage43.2%renting
Demographic Trends
Shortland Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Shortland Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Shortland as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Shortland and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Shortland?
The current median house price in Shortland, nsw is $862K, with annual growth of +5.8%. Properties sell in approximately 24 days.
How fast do properties sell in Shortland?
Properties in Shortland sell in 24 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is faster than the national average, indicating strong buyer demand.
What is the growth outlook for Shortland?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Shortland's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Shortland?
The gross rental yield for houses in Shortland is 3.7%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).