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84% of Our Top-Rated Suburbs Grew More Than 8% Per Year Over 5 Years

We predict which suburbs will grow and by how much. Check yours below.

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General information only, not personal financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

0+ Suburbs Scored
0 Cities Covered
0M+ Sales Analysed
0yr of Data

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We tested it.
It works.

We built the models on 2.15 million property transactions. Then we tested them on cities they'd never seen — every city held out and predicted independently. 38 cities, 962 suburbs, 12,000+ suburb-years tested. Here's what happened.

We Said Buy

Suburbs rated HIGH

0%

Actually grew

We Said Avoid

Suburbs rated LOW

0%

Actually fell

The Difference

Best vs worst picks

$120K

On a $1M property per year

Timing Signal

GREEN/RED accuracy

0/22

Correct calls since 2003

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Results shown are from testing on data our models never saw during training (2024–2025). Property values can fall. This is general information only, not personal financial advice.

How we
do it

01

Read the Market

We track four independent signals that tell us whether credit conditions favour property growth or contraction. When they all point the same way, we update the traffic light. GREEN means go. RED means wait.

02

Score Every Suburb

We analyse every house and unit sold across Australia over the last 20 years. The model looks at price trends, momentum, buyer activity, yields, and how each suburb responded in past cycles. Every suburb gets a growth rating.

03

Check the Price

Is the suburb overpriced for what it is? We compare the actual price to what it should cost based on income, rent, employment, and 13 other indicators. If the price is below what the data says it's worth, we flag it.

04

Show You the Best

Enter your budget. You see the top suburbs ranked, houses and units together, with growth ratings, fair value, market heat, yield, and downturn risk. Updated quarterly. No opinions, no sales pitch. Just data.

Every suburb.
Every signal.

Per suburb

Growth rating (HIGH / MODERATE / LOW)  ·  Is it overpriced or underpriced?  ·  Market heat score (0-100)  ·  Median price by bedrooms  ·  Rental yield (house & unit)  ·  How fast it's selling  ·  How many buyers are looking  ·  5-year price trend  ·  How much it fell in past downturns  ·  Should you buy now or wait?

What others won't tell you

Everyone says houses beat units. Our data says that's not true — at the same price point, they perform almost identically. What actually matters is the price band. The sweet spot for growth is $700K–$1.2M, whether it's a house or a unit.

Based on 500,000+ property sales across Australia over the last 20 years.

Sample Suburb Page

Berowra HIGH

NSW · House · Rank #12 in Sydney

$1.66M

Median House Price

Growth Predictions

Houses

Probability
Range
1 yr
69%
+4% to +12%
3 yr
74%
+8% to +25%
5 yr
58%
+5% to +35%
10 yr
81%
+20% to +65%

Units

Probability
Range
1 yr
63%
+2% to +9%
3 yr
59%
+4% to +18%
5 yr
54%
+3% to +28%
10 yr
72%
+12% to +50%

Model estimates based on historical patterns. Not financial advice.

Fair Value

-21%

Undervalued

Market Heat

57/100

Warm

Rental

2 bed

$620/wk

3.1% yield

3 bed

$820/wk

2.9% yield

4 bed

$950/wk

2.6% yield

5 bed

$1,100/wk

2.4% yield

36d

Days on Market

+10.4%

Annual Growth

+2.9%

3m Momentum

4.2

Months Supply

Demographics

$128K

Median Income

+1.8%

Pop. Growth

72%

Owner Occupied

28%

Renter

Real data from our model. Every scored suburb has its own page like this.

Simple pricing.
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forever
  • Market timing signal (GREEN/RED)
  • One city, all suburbs scored
  • 1-year growth prediction
  • Fair value, heat, yield, DOM
  • Budget tool with top 5 suburbs
  • Regime change email alerts
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Every suburb. Every signal.
One dashboard.

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Atlaso Research

Atlaso is an independent research platform built by a quantitative analyst in Sydney. We analyse every house and unit sold across 40 Australian cities to figure out which suburbs are most likely to grow — and which you should avoid. We test our models on data they've never seen, and we publish the results. No opinions. No sponsored content. Just data.

2M+

Sales analysed

40 Cities

National coverage

87%

Top-rated grew >4% (38 cities)

6

Layers of analysis

We built our models on older data, then tested them on cities and time periods they'd never seen. The results held up — 84% of top-rated suburbs grew more than 8% per year over 5 years, while only 15% of bottom-rated suburbs achieved the same. Validated across 40 Australian cities using walk-forward testing on 2.15 million property transactions.

Atlaso does not provide personal financial advice. We publish quantitative research to help investors make more informed decisions.

Common Questions

How accurate is this?

We tested our model on data it was never trained on. 84% of top-rated suburbs grew more than 8% per year over 5 years — nearly doubling in value. Only 15% of bottom-rated suburbs achieved the same — a 69 percentage point spread. These are out-of-sample results across 40 Australian cities using walk-forward validation on 2.15 million transactions.

How is this different from CoreLogic or Domain?

CoreLogic and Domain show you what happened. We predict what's likely to happen next. Our model combines six layers — timing, growth, fair value, demand, risk, and long-term potential — into a single suburb rating. No other Australian platform publishes validated out-of-sample hit rates.

Is this financial advice?

No. Atlaso provides general research information. We show you data and model outputs — you make your own decisions. We always recommend speaking to a licensed financial adviser before buying property.

How often is data updated?

Suburb scores update quarterly. Market demand and profile data updates monthly. The national timing signal is reviewed semi-annually.

What does the model get wrong?

17% of top-rated suburbs didn't grow. The model predicts direction, not magnitude. It works at suburb level — individual properties within a suburb may differ. And our long-term growth model (AUC 0.70) is weaker than our short-term model (AUC 0.82). We publish our limitations because trust matters more than marketing.

Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL). By using this site, you acknowledge that all investment decisions are made at your own risk.