Atlaso rates Tanilba Bay houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.56%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Newcastle.
At $915K, Tanilba Bay ranks #46 of 74 houses in Newcastle. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Prices sit 26% above the 5-year average.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Newcastle.
Shifting to SellersMarket tightening. Act sooner rather than later.
+3.4%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+1.9%
Rents (12mo)
0.6%
Vacancy ↓
39%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$873K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$624/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2319.
Momentum Health
Monitor
37% stall probability
Tanilba Bay is growing at 16.0% annually but early warning signals are appearing. Watch for vacancy loosening or yield compression over the next quarter.
STALL RISK37%
Suburb Profile
Tanilba Bay at a Glance
SEIFA Index
2/10
Below average
Household Income
$1,111/wk
Median household
Median Age
50
Years
Mortgage Stress
32%
of income (stressed)
Population Growth
-9.8%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
41.9%owned23.0%mortgage23.6%renting
Demographic Trends
Tanilba Bay Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Tanilba Bay Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Tanilba Bay as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Tanilba Bay and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Tanilba Bay?
The current median house price in Tanilba Bay, nsw is $915K, with annual growth of +5.4%.
How fast do properties sell in Tanilba Bay?
Days on market data is not currently available for Tanilba Bay.
What is the growth outlook for Tanilba Bay?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Tanilba Bay's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Tanilba Bay?
The gross rental yield for houses in Tanilba Bay is 3.7%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).