Extremely low vacancy signals structural undersupply in the rental market, creating long-term price pressure.
VERDICT
STRONG BUY
Rental Pressure Market
DEMAND
0 buyers/listing
Weak↓
LIQUIDITY
30d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
-0.6% vs 5yr
Neutral→
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Strong
Strong↑
YIELD
4.1%
Strong↑
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.6% vacancy
Strong↑
#6/74StrongStructure 90$860KTop 2.4% nationally
Atlaso rates Bonnells Bay houses as STRONG BUY, our highest conviction rating. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.62%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, and rental yield of 4.1% is above the national average. Historically, 90% of suburbs we rate STRONG BUY grew more than 8% annually.
At $860K, Bonnells Bay ranks #6 of 74 houses in Newcastle. The long-term structural outlook is Strong.
Market Intelligence
What's Happening Now
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
-4.7%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+11.2%
Rents (12mo)
1.5%
Vacancy ↑
33%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$730/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2264.
Suburb Profile
Bonnells Bay at a Glance
SEIFA Index
4/10
Average
Household Income
$1,344/wk
Median household
Median Age
47
Years
Mortgage Stress
30%
of income
Population Growth
+1.7%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
40.8%owned28.8%mortgage27.2%renting
Demographic Trends
Bonnells Bay Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Bonnells Bay Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
Free · No credit card required
Want multi-horizon structural outlook, full rankings, and comparison tools?
Atlaso rates Bonnells Bay as STRONG BUY confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Bonnells Bay and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Bonnells Bay?
The current median house price in Bonnells Bay, nsw is $860K, with annual growth of +23.2%.
How fast do properties sell in Bonnells Bay?
Days on market data is not currently available for Bonnells Bay.
What is the growth outlook for Bonnells Bay?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Bonnells Bay's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Bonnells Bay?
The gross rental yield for houses in Bonnells Bay is 4.1%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).