Structural conditions do not currently support growth. Stronger alternatives exist.
VERDICT
AVOID
Elevated Risk
DEMAND
0 buyers/listing
Weak↓
LIQUIDITY
30d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
30.0% vs 5yr
Weak↓
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Weak
Weak↓
YIELD
2.4%
Weak↓
SUPPLY PRESSURE
1.0% vacancy
Strong↑
#54/74WeakStructure 10Stall warning$1.42M
Atlaso rates Hawks Nest houses as AVOID. Only 14% of AVOID-rated suburbs achieved more than 8% growth. Stronger alternatives are likely available in Newcastle.
At $1.42M, Hawks Nest ranks #54 of 74 houses in Newcastle. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Rental yield is compressed at 2.4%.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Newcastle.
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
-8.6%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+7.3%
Rents (12mo)
1.4%
Vacancy ↑
29%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$984K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$657/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2324.
Momentum Health
Stall warning
85% stall probability
Hawks Nest shows a high probability of momentum stalling within 12 months. The current 59.0% growth rate is unlikely to sustain. Owners should consider locking in gains.
STALL RISK85%
Suburb Profile
Hawks Nest at a Glance
SEIFA Index
2/10
Below average
Household Income
$1,254/wk
Median household
Median Age
47
Years
Mortgage Stress
29%
of income
Population Growth
+1.3%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
38.0%owned29.9%mortgage27.9%renting
Demographic Trends
Hawks Nest Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Hawks Nest Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Hawks Nest as AVOID confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Hawks Nest and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Hawks Nest?
The current median house price in Hawks Nest, nsw is $1.42M, with annual growth of +1.6%.
How fast do properties sell in Hawks Nest?
Days on market data is not currently available for Hawks Nest.
What is the growth outlook for Hawks Nest?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Hawks Nest's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Hawks Nest?
The gross rental yield for houses in Hawks Nest is 2.4%. This is below average, typical of capital-growth focused suburbs where prices have outpaced rents.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).