Rental supply is extremely tight while prices are accelerating. This structural imbalance favours continued growth.
VERDICT
BUY
Supply Constrained Growth
DEMAND
94 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
29d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
30.0% vs 5yr
Weak↓
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Good
Strong↑
YIELD
6.9%
Strong↑
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.9% vacancy
Strong↑
#18/24GoodStructure 97Room to run$452K
Atlaso rates Johnston units as BUY for capital growth. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.92%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium. 66% of BUY-rated suburbs grew more than 8% in our validated testing.
At $452K, Johnston ranks #18 of 24 units in Darwin. The long-term structural outlook is Good. Prices grew 37.3% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
-5.9%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+18.6%
Rents (12mo)
0.5%
Vacancy
56%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$425K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$652/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 0832.
Momentum Health
Room to run
21% stall probability
Johnston is growing at 37.3% annually with no signs of slowing. Vacancy remains tight and the suburb has not yet reached its affordability ceiling relative to Darwin.
STALL RISK21%
Suburb Profile
Johnston at a Glance
Household Income
$2,352/wk
Median household
Median Age
30
Years
Mortgage Stress
21%
of income
Population Growth
-39.2%
vs state -0.4%
Ownership Mix
0.1%owned34.4%mortgage65.4%renting
Demographic Trends
Johnston Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Johnston Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Johnston as BUY confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Johnston and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Johnston?
The current median house price in Johnston, nt is $452K, with annual growth of +11.0%. Properties sell in approximately 29 days.
How fast do properties sell in Johnston?
Properties in Johnston sell in 29 days on average. The market is currently rated Good. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Johnston?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Johnston's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Johnston?
The gross rental yield for houses in Johnston is 6.9%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).