Structural conditions do not currently support growth. Stronger alternatives exist.
VERDICT
AVOID
Elevated Risk
DEMAND
97 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
30d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
30.0% vs 5yr
Weak↓
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Weak
Weak↓
YIELD
4.8%
Strong↑
SUPPLY PRESSURE
1.1% vacancy
Strong↑
#48/89WeakStructure 18Elevated risk$502K
Atlaso rates Shoalwater units as AVOID. Only 14% of AVOID-rated suburbs achieved more than 8% growth. Stronger alternatives are likely available in Perth.
At $502K, Shoalwater ranks #48 of 89 units in Perth. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Prices grew 76.3% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
-7.1%
Asking Prices (3mo)
-5.3%
Rents (12mo)
1.1%
Vacancy
57%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$648K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$503/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 6169.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
59% stall probability
Shoalwater has been running at 76.3% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK59%
Suburb Profile
Shoalwater at a Glance
SEIFA Index
4/10
Average
Household Income
$1,485/wk
Median household
Median Age
41
Years
Mortgage Stress
25%
of income
Population Growth
-3.1%
vs state +1.9%
Ownership Mix
34.5%owned32.0%mortgage30.6%renting
Demographic Trends
Shoalwater Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Shoalwater Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Shoalwater as AVOID confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Shoalwater and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Shoalwater?
The current median house price in Shoalwater, wa is $502K, with annual growth of +3.5%. Properties sell in approximately 30 days.
How fast do properties sell in Shoalwater?
Properties in Shoalwater sell in 30 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Shoalwater?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Shoalwater's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Shoalwater?
The gross rental yield for houses in Shoalwater is 4.8%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).