Lucas — Houses

NEUTRAL
VIC 3350 House Rank #24 of 27 in Ballarat ↑2
$668K
Median House Price · recent comparable sales
DEMAND LIQUIDITY AFFORD GROWTH YIELD SUPPLY
VERDICT
NEUTRAL
DEMAND
17 buyers/listing
Neutral
LIQUIDITY
45d DOM
Neutral
AFFORDABILITY
18.9% vs 5yr
Weak
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Average
Neutral
YIELD
3.8%
Neutral
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.7% vacancy
Strong
#24/27 Average Structure 79 Monitor $668K

Atlaso rates Lucas houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.7%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Ballarat.

At $668K, Lucas ranks #24 of 27 houses in Ballarat. The long-term structural outlook is Average.

OPPORTUNITY ENGINE

Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.

5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Ballarat.

Lucas Price History

All houses · monthly median sale price

Market Intelligence

What's Happening Now

Balanced No strong buyer or seller advantage right now.
-2.9%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+7.1%
Rents (12mo)
0.6%
Vacancy
30%
Fresh Stock (<30d)

House Asking Prices (12 months)

$722K

House Weekly Rents (12 months)

$471/wk

Vacancy Rate (24 months)

--- 1.5% tight --- 3.0% loose

Listing Age (12 months)

Fresh (<30d) 30-60d 60-90d 90-180d 180d+

Data for postcode 3350.

Momentum Health

Monitor

47% stall probability

Lucas is growing at 24.6% annually but early warning signals are appearing. Watch for vacancy loosening or yield compression over the next quarter.

STALL RISK 47%

Suburb Profile

Lucas at a Glance

SEIFA Index
6/10
Above average
Household Income
$1,503/wk
Median household
Median Age
39
Years
Mortgage Stress
23%
of income
Population Growth
+3.0%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
27.6% owned 33.6% mortgage 35.9% renting

Demographic Trends

Lucas Over Time

Median Household Income (Census)

Population Growth Rate (Census)

Dwelling Composition (Census)

Rental Yield History

Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.

Full Lucas Analysis

Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.

3-Year Structural Outlook Strong
Conviction Level High
Fair Value Gap X.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price $X,XXX,XXX
Gross Yield X.X%
Weekly Rent $XXX
SEIFA Decile X/10
Building Approvals XX dwellings

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lucas a good suburb to invest in?
Atlaso rates Lucas as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Lucas and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Lucas?
The current median house price in Lucas, vic is $668K, with annual growth of +4.3%. Properties sell in approximately 45 days.
How fast do properties sell in Lucas?
Properties in Lucas sell in 45 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Lucas?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Lucas's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Lucas?
The gross rental yield for houses in Lucas is 3.8%. This is in line with the broader market average.

Want to compare suburbs?

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Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).