Atlaso rates Condell Park houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.94%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Sydney.
At $1.49M, Condell Park ranks #275 of 433 houses in Sydney. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Properties sell in 27 days.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Sydney.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
-10.9%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+20.2%
Rents (12mo)
0.6%
Vacancy
44%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.53M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$1,002/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2200.
Momentum Health
Stall warning
81% stall probability
Condell Park shows a high probability of momentum stalling within 12 months. The current 47.9% growth rate is unlikely to sustain. Owners should consider locking in gains.
STALL RISK81%
Suburb Profile
Condell Park at a Glance
SEIFA Index
3/10
Below average
Household Income
$1,392/wk
Median household
Median Age
34
Years
Mortgage Stress
33%
of income (stressed)
Population Growth
+1.3%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
17.5%owned31.0%mortgage46.0%renting
Demographic Trends
Condell Park Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Condell Park Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Condell Park as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Condell Park and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Condell Park?
The current median house price in Condell Park, nsw is $1.49M, with annual growth of +1.4%. Properties sell in approximately 27 days.
How fast do properties sell in Condell Park?
Properties in Condell Park sell in 27 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Condell Park?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Condell Park's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Condell Park?
The gross rental yield for houses in Condell Park is 2.9%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).