Rental supply is extremely tight while prices are accelerating. This structural imbalance favours continued growth.
VERDICT
STRONG BUY
Supply Constrained Growth
DEMAND
42 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
44d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
-20.0% vs 5yr
Strong↑
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Strong
Strong↑
YIELD
3.3%
Neutral→
SUPPLY PRESSURE
1.0% vacancy
Strong↑
#4/27StrongStructure 93$604KTop 2.4% nationally
Atlaso rates Smythes Creek houses as STRONG BUY, our highest conviction rating. Vacancy remains tight at 1.02%, and prices grew 13.1% over the past year, showing strong momentum. Historically, 90% of suburbs we rate STRONG BUY grew more than 8% annually.
At $604K, Smythes Creek ranks #4 of 27 houses in Ballarat. The long-term structural outlook is Strong. Prices remain 20% below their 5-year trend, suggesting room for recovery.
Smythes Creek Price History
All houses · monthly median sale price
Market Intelligence
What's Happening Now
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
-1.5%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+11.5%
Rents (12mo)
3.6%
Vacancy ↑
28%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$717K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$517/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3351.
Suburb Profile
Smythes Creek at a Glance
SEIFA Index
5/10
Average
Household Income
$1,684/wk
Median household
Median Age
41
Years
Mortgage Stress
21%
of income
Population Growth
-1.3%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
38.5%owned50.4%mortgage6.2%renting
Demographic Trends
Smythes Creek Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Smythes Creek Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Smythes Creek as STRONG BUY confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Smythes Creek and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Smythes Creek?
The current median house price in Smythes Creek, vic is $604K, with annual growth of +22.6%. Properties sell in approximately 44 days.
How fast do properties sell in Smythes Creek?
Properties in Smythes Creek sell in 44 days on average. The market is currently rated Strong. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Smythes Creek?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Smythes Creek's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Smythes Creek?
The gross rental yield for houses in Smythes Creek is 3.3%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).