Rental supply is extremely tight while prices are accelerating. This structural imbalance favours continued growth.
VERDICT
BUY
Supply Constrained Growth
DEMAND
62 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
29d DOM
Strong↑
AFFORDABILITY
15.0% vs 5yr
Neutral→
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Average
Neutral→
YIELD
4.4%
Strong↑
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.7% vacancy
Strong↑
#15/27AverageStructure 88Room to run$500K
Atlaso rates Sebastopol houses as BUY for capital growth. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.69%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium. 66% of BUY-rated suburbs grew more than 8% in our validated testing.
At $500K, Sebastopol ranks #15 of 27 houses in Ballarat. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Prices grew 15.1% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Ballarat.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
+2.3%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+2.5%
Rents (12mo)
0.9%
Vacancy
42%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$600K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$430/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3356.
Momentum Health
Room to run
24% stall probability
Sebastopol is growing at 15.1% annually with no signs of slowing. Vacancy remains tight and the suburb has not yet reached its affordability ceiling relative to Ballarat.
STALL RISK24%
Suburb Profile
Sebastopol at a Glance
SEIFA Index
1/10
Most disadvantaged
Household Income
$1,112/wk
Median household
Median Age
39
Years
Mortgage Stress
26%
of income
Population Growth
+0.3%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
26.5%owned31.7%mortgage37.9%renting
Demographic Trends
Sebastopol Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Sebastopol Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Sebastopol as BUY confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Sebastopol and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Sebastopol?
The current median house price in Sebastopol, vic is $500K, with annual growth of +9.2%. Properties sell in approximately 29 days.
How fast do properties sell in Sebastopol?
Properties in Sebastopol sell in 29 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Sebastopol?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Sebastopol's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Sebastopol?
The gross rental yield for houses in Sebastopol is 4.4%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).