Atlaso rates Runaway Bay units as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.45%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better units options may be available in Gold Coast.
At $1.13M, Runaway Bay ranks #26 of 32 units in Gold Coast. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Buyer demand is strong with 97 buyers per listing.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
3 stronger-positioned units identified in Gold Coast.
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
-6.8%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+7.6%
Rents (12mo)
1.2%
Vacancy ↓
36%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$960K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$835/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 4216.
Momentum Health
Monitor
48% stall probability
Runaway Bay is growing at 34.5% annually but early warning signals are appearing. Watch for vacancy loosening or yield compression over the next quarter.
STALL RISK48%
Suburb Profile
Runaway Bay at a Glance
SEIFA Index
6/10
Above average
Household Income
$1,336/wk
Median household
Median Age
50
Years
Mortgage Stress
31%
of income (stressed)
Population Growth
+0.5%
vs state +1.8%
Ownership Mix
34.3%owned30.7%mortgage30.9%renting
Demographic Trends
Runaway Bay Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Runaway Bay Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Runaway Bay as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Runaway Bay and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Runaway Bay?
The current median house price in Runaway Bay, qld is $1.13M, with annual growth of +5.2%. Properties sell in approximately 43 days.
How fast do properties sell in Runaway Bay?
Properties in Runaway Bay sell in 43 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Runaway Bay?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Runaway Bay's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Runaway Bay?
The gross rental yield for houses in Runaway Bay is 3.8%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).