Atlaso rates Ferntree Gully houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.62%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Melbourne.
At $982K, Ferntree Gully ranks #195 of 263 houses in Melbourne. The long-term structural outlook is Below average. Buyer demand is strong with 108 buyers per listing.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Melbourne.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
-13.0%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+6.8%
Rents (12mo)
0.6%
Vacancy
51%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$961K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$641/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3156.
Momentum Health
Monitor
45% stall probability
Ferntree Gully is growing at 18.9% annually but early warning signals are appearing. Watch for vacancy loosening or yield compression over the next quarter.
STALL RISK45%
Suburb Profile
Ferntree Gully at a Glance
SEIFA Index
8/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$1,948/wk
Median household
Median Age
40
Years
Mortgage Stress
24%
of income
Population Growth
+0.0%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
33.1%owned45.5%mortgage18.9%renting
Demographic Trends
Ferntree Gully Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Ferntree Gully Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Ferntree Gully as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Ferntree Gully and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Ferntree Gully?
The current median house price in Ferntree Gully, vic is $982K, with annual growth of +3.1%. Properties sell in approximately 25 days.
How fast do properties sell in Ferntree Gully?
Properties in Ferntree Gully sell in 25 days on average. The market is currently rated Below average. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Ferntree Gully?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Ferntree Gully's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Ferntree Gully?
The gross rental yield for houses in Ferntree Gully is 3.5%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).