Atlaso rates Erowal Bay houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.57%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Wollongong.
At $1.17M, Erowal Bay ranks #45 of 62 houses in Wollongong. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Prices sit 30% above the 5-year average.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Wollongong.
BalancedNo strong buyer or seller advantage right now.
-0.9%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+4.8%
Rents (12mo)
2.2%
Vacancy
27%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.19M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$623/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2540.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
77% stall probability
Erowal Bay has been running at 42.9% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK77%
Suburb Profile
Erowal Bay at a Glance
SEIFA Index
4/10
Average
Household Income
$1,275/wk
Median household
Median Age
49
Years
Mortgage Stress
31%
of income (stressed)
Population Growth
+1.1%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
28.8%owned21.9%mortgage16.9%renting
Demographic Trends
Erowal Bay Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Erowal Bay Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Erowal Bay as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Erowal Bay and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Erowal Bay?
The current median house price in Erowal Bay, nsw is $1.17M, with annual growth of +2.0%.
How fast do properties sell in Erowal Bay?
Days on market data is not currently available for Erowal Bay.
What is the growth outlook for Erowal Bay?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Erowal Bay's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Erowal Bay?
The gross rental yield for houses in Erowal Bay is 2.7%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).