Structural conditions do not currently support growth. Stronger alternatives exist.
VERDICT
AVOID
Elevated Risk
DEMAND
33 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
83d DOM
Weak↓
AFFORDABILITY
18.9% vs 5yr
Weak↓
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Weak
Weak↓
YIELD
3.0%
Neutral→
SUPPLY PRESSURE
1.0% vacancy
Strong↑
#11/18WeakStructure 4Elevated risk$1.21M
Atlaso rates Crescent Head houses as AVOID. Properties take 83 days to sell, suggesting buyer caution. Only 14% of AVOID-rated suburbs achieved more than 8% growth. Stronger alternatives are likely available in Port Macquarie.
At $1.21M, Crescent Head ranks #11 of 18 houses in Port Macquarie. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Short-term momentum is accelerating.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
4 stronger-positioned houses identified in Port Macquarie.
Shifting to SellersMarket tightening. Act sooner rather than later.
+1.3%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+14.4%
Rents (12mo)
0.7%
Vacancy ↓
12%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$861K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$563/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2440.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
70% stall probability
Crescent Head has been running at 30.6% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK70%
Suburb Profile
Crescent Head at a Glance
SEIFA Index
1/10
Most disadvantaged
Household Income
$1,126/wk
Median household
Median Age
45
Years
Mortgage Stress
27%
of income
Population Growth
-0.3%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
38.1%owned30.5%mortgage25.6%renting
Demographic Trends
Crescent Head Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Crescent Head Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Crescent Head as AVOID confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Crescent Head and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Crescent Head?
The current median house price in Crescent Head, nsw is $1.21M, with annual growth of +2.2%. Properties sell in approximately 83 days.
How fast do properties sell in Crescent Head?
Properties in Crescent Head sell in 83 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is slower than average, which may present opportunities for negotiation.
What is the growth outlook for Crescent Head?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Crescent Head's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Crescent Head?
The gross rental yield for houses in Crescent Head is 3.0%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).