Atlaso rates Balmain East houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.52%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Sydney.
At $4.18M, Balmain East ranks #355 of 433 houses in Sydney. The long-term structural outlook is Below average. Buyer demand is strong with 175 buyers per listing.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Sydney.
Shifting to SellersMarket tightening. Act sooner rather than later.
+12.0%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+2.0%
Rents (12mo)
1.4%
Vacancy ↓
50%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$3.04M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$1,480/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2041.
Momentum Health
Stall warning
92% stall probability
Balmain East shows a high probability of momentum stalling within 12 months. The current 55.1% growth rate is unlikely to sustain. Owners should consider locking in gains.
STALL RISK92%
Suburb Profile
Balmain East at a Glance
SEIFA Index
10/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$3,147/wk
Median household
Median Age
43
Years
Mortgage Stress
29%
of income
Population Growth
+0.8%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
28.4%owned29.2%mortgage39.7%renting
Demographic Trends
Balmain East Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Balmain East Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Balmain East as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Balmain East and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Balmain East?
The current median house price in Balmain East, nsw is $4.18M, with annual growth of +1.6%. Properties sell in approximately 31 days.
How fast do properties sell in Balmain East?
Properties in Balmain East sell in 31 days on average. The market is currently rated Below average. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Balmain East?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Balmain East's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Balmain East?
The gross rental yield for houses in Balmain East is 2.4%. This is below average, typical of capital-growth focused suburbs where prices have outpaced rents.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).