Atlaso rates Vineyard houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Prices grew 36.2% over the past year, showing strong momentum, but properties take 98 days to sell, suggesting buyer caution. Better houses options may be available in Sydney.
At $1.56M, Vineyard ranks #204 of 433 houses in Sydney. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Vacancy sits at 3.29%.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Sydney.
BalancedNo strong buyer or seller advantage right now.
+5.2%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+3.8%
Rents (12mo)
3.5%
Vacancy ↑
29%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.29M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$851/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2765.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
67% stall probability
Vineyard has been running at 36.2% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK67%
Suburb Profile
Vineyard at a Glance
SEIFA Index
10/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$2,572/wk
Median household
Median Age
33
Years
Mortgage Stress
25%
of income
Population Growth
+24.6%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
22.4%owned47.4%mortgage27.0%renting
Demographic Trends
Vineyard Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Vineyard Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Vineyard as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Vineyard and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Vineyard?
The current median house price in Vineyard, nsw is $1.56M, with annual growth of +5.0%. Properties sell in approximately 98 days.
How fast do properties sell in Vineyard?
Properties in Vineyard sell in 98 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is slower than average, which may present opportunities for negotiation.
What is the growth outlook for Vineyard?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Vineyard's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Vineyard?
The gross rental yield for houses in Vineyard is 3.2%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).