Structural conditions do not currently support growth. Stronger alternatives exist.
VERDICT
AVOID
Elevated Risk
DEMAND
29 buyers/listing
Neutral→
LIQUIDITY
50d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
30.0% vs 5yr
Weak↓
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Weak
Weak↓
YIELD
4.5%
Strong↑
SUPPLY PRESSURE
1.0% vacancy
Strong↑
#5/6WeakStructure 11Elevated risk$581K
Atlaso rates Tuncurry units as AVOID. Only 14% of AVOID-rated suburbs achieved more than 8% growth. Stronger alternatives are likely available in Port Macquarie.
At $581K, Tuncurry ranks #5 of 6 units in Port Macquarie. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Prices grew 53.4% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
Tuncurry Price History
All units · monthly median sale price
Market Intelligence
What's Happening Now
BalancedNo strong buyer or seller advantage right now.
-2.3%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+16.5%
Rents (12mo)
1.1%
Vacancy ↓
19%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$703K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$540/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2428.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
72% stall probability
Tuncurry has been running at 53.4% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK72%
Suburb Profile
Tuncurry at a Glance
SEIFA Index
2/10
Below average
Household Income
$980/wk
Median household
Median Age
58
Years
Mortgage Stress
36%
of income (stressed)
Population Growth
+0.0%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
46.9%owned21.6%mortgage27.4%renting
Demographic Trends
Tuncurry Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Tuncurry Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Tuncurry as AVOID confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Tuncurry and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Tuncurry?
The current median house price in Tuncurry, nsw is $581K, with annual growth of +2.0%. Properties sell in approximately 50 days.
How fast do properties sell in Tuncurry?
Properties in Tuncurry sell in 50 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is slower than average, which may present opportunities for negotiation.
What is the growth outlook for Tuncurry?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Tuncurry's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Tuncurry?
The gross rental yield for houses in Tuncurry is 4.5%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).