Atlaso rates Patterson Lakes units as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.93%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better units options may be available in Melbourne.
At $725K, Patterson Lakes ranks #144 of 206 units in Melbourne. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Prices grew 32.8% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned units identified in Melbourne.
Patterson Lakes has been running at 32.8% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK62%
Suburb Profile
Patterson Lakes at a Glance
SEIFA Index
8/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$1,853/wk
Median household
Median Age
44
Years
Mortgage Stress
26%
of income
Population Growth
-0.5%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
34.1%owned41.1%mortgage22.5%renting
Demographic Trends
Patterson Lakes Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Patterson Lakes Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Patterson Lakes as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Patterson Lakes and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Patterson Lakes?
The current median house price in Patterson Lakes, vic is $725K, with annual growth of +2.3%. Properties sell in approximately 31 days.
How fast do properties sell in Patterson Lakes?
Properties in Patterson Lakes sell in 31 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Patterson Lakes?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Patterson Lakes's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Patterson Lakes?
The gross rental yield for houses in Patterson Lakes is 4.1%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).