Atlaso rates North St Marys houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.43%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Sydney.
At $1.02M, North St Marys ranks #251 of 433 houses in Sydney. The long-term structural outlook is Below average. Short-term momentum is accelerating.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Sydney.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
-7.3%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+1.8%
Rents (12mo)
1.0%
Vacancy ↓
52%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.14M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$601/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2760.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
59% stall probability
North St Marys has been running at 25.4% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK59%
Suburb Profile
North St Marys at a Glance
SEIFA Index
3/10
Below average
Household Income
$1,575/wk
Median household
Median Age
34
Years
Mortgage Stress
29%
of income
Population Growth
+4.5%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
16.5%owned33.6%mortgage44.6%renting
Demographic Trends
North St Marys Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full North St Marys Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates North St Marys as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across North St Marys and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in North St Marys?
The current median house price in North St Marys, nsw is $1.02M, with annual growth of +3.0%. Properties sell in approximately 28 days.
How fast do properties sell in North St Marys?
Properties in North St Marys sell in 28 days on average. The market is currently rated Below average. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for North St Marys?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate North St Marys's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in North St Marys?
The gross rental yield for houses in North St Marys is 3.1%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).