Structural conditions do not currently support growth. Stronger alternatives exist.
VERDICT
AVOID
Elevated Risk
DEMAND
90 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
31d DOM
Neutral→
AFFORDABILITY
30.0% vs 5yr
Weak↓
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Weak
Weak↓
YIELD
3.1%
Neutral→
SUPPLY PRESSURE
1.9% vacancy
Neutral→
#35/41WeakStructure 5Stall warning$2.51M
Atlaso rates Mermaid Waters houses as AVOID. Only 14% of AVOID-rated suburbs achieved more than 8% growth. Stronger alternatives are likely available in Gold Coast.
At $2.51M, Mermaid Waters ranks #35 of 41 houses in Gold Coast. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Short-term momentum is accelerating.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Gold Coast.
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
+3.4%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+12.3%
Rents (12mo)
2.8%
Vacancy ↑
34%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$2.58M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$1,682/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 4218.
Momentum Health
Stall warning
84% stall probability
Mermaid Waters shows a high probability of momentum stalling within 12 months. The current 76.2% growth rate is unlikely to sustain. Owners should consider locking in gains.
STALL RISK84%
Suburb Profile
Mermaid Waters at a Glance
SEIFA Index
8/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$1,751/wk
Median household
Median Age
41
Years
Mortgage Stress
27%
of income
Population Growth
+1.6%
vs state +1.8%
Ownership Mix
22.0%owned30.3%mortgage42.5%renting
Demographic Trends
Mermaid Waters Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Mermaid Waters Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Mermaid Waters as AVOID confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Mermaid Waters and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Mermaid Waters?
The current median house price in Mermaid Waters, qld is $2.51M, with annual growth of +2.0%. Properties sell in approximately 31 days.
How fast do properties sell in Mermaid Waters?
Properties in Mermaid Waters sell in 31 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Mermaid Waters?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Mermaid Waters's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Mermaid Waters?
The gross rental yield for houses in Mermaid Waters is 3.1%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).