Atlaso rates Manifold Heights units as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.78%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better units options may be available in Geelong.
At $488K, Manifold Heights ranks #17 of 22 units in Geelong. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Prices grew 20.5% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned units identified in Geelong.
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
-5.2%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+24.7%
Rents (12mo)
1.4%
Vacancy
34%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$618K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$493/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3218.
Momentum Health
Room to run
29% stall probability
Manifold Heights is growing at 20.5% annually with no signs of slowing. Vacancy remains tight and the suburb has not yet reached its affordability ceiling relative to Geelong.
STALL RISK29%
Suburb Profile
Manifold Heights at a Glance
SEIFA Index
8/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$1,752/wk
Median household
Median Age
37
Years
Mortgage Stress
26%
of income
Population Growth
+2.7%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
23.0%owned34.4%mortgage40.0%renting
Demographic Trends
Manifold Heights Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Manifold Heights Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Manifold Heights as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Manifold Heights and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Manifold Heights?
The current median house price in Manifold Heights, vic is $488K, with annual growth of +9.1%. Properties sell in approximately 42 days.
How fast do properties sell in Manifold Heights?
Properties in Manifold Heights sell in 42 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Manifold Heights?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Manifold Heights's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Manifold Heights?
The gross rental yield for houses in Manifold Heights is 4.6%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).