Atlaso rates Kincumber houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.76%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Sydney.
At $1.14M, Kincumber ranks #244 of 433 houses in Sydney. The long-term structural outlook is Below average. Properties sell in just 22 days, reflecting urgent buyer demand.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Sydney.
BalancedNo strong buyer or seller advantage right now.
-10.5%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+2.0%
Rents (12mo)
1.2%
Vacancy ↓
29%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.41M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$917/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2251.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
57% stall probability
Kincumber has been running at 23.9% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK57%
Suburb Profile
Kincumber at a Glance
SEIFA Index
8/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$1,717/wk
Median household
Median Age
46
Years
Mortgage Stress
29%
of income
Population Growth
-1.2%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
39.5%owned38.5%mortgage19.3%renting
Demographic Trends
Kincumber Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Kincumber Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Kincumber as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Kincumber and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Kincumber?
The current median house price in Kincumber, nsw is $1.14M, with annual growth of +3.3%. Properties sell in approximately 22 days.
How fast do properties sell in Kincumber?
Properties in Kincumber sell in 22 days on average. The market is currently rated Below average. This is faster than the national average, indicating strong buyer demand.
What is the growth outlook for Kincumber?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Kincumber's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Kincumber?
The gross rental yield for houses in Kincumber is 3.3%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).