Atlaso rates Castle Hill units as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.42%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better units options may be available in Sydney.
At $1.14M, Castle Hill ranks #160 of 257 units in Sydney. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Prices grew 25.5% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
+13.5%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+6.3%
Rents (12mo)
1.9%
Vacancy ↑
27%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$957K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$820/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2154.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
61% stall probability
Castle Hill has been running at 25.5% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK61%
Suburb Profile
Castle Hill at a Glance
SEIFA Index
10/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$2,551/wk
Median household
Median Age
42
Years
Mortgage Stress
27%
of income
Full Castle Hill Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Castle Hill as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Castle Hill and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Castle Hill?
The current median house price in Castle Hill, nsw is $1.14M, with annual growth of +3.2%. Properties sell in approximately 32 days.
How fast do properties sell in Castle Hill?
Properties in Castle Hill sell in 32 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Castle Hill?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Castle Hill's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Castle Hill?
The gross rental yield for houses in Castle Hill is 4.2%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).