Atlaso rates Herne Hill houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.86%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Geelong.
At $806K, Herne Hill ranks #30 of 32 houses in Geelong. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Properties sell in just 23 days, reflecting urgent buyer demand.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Geelong.
BalancedNo strong buyer or seller advantage right now.
+1.1%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+3.6%
Rents (12mo)
1.4%
Vacancy
34%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$931K
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$566/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3218.
Momentum Health
Monitor
40% stall probability
Herne Hill is growing at 23.0% annually but early warning signals are appearing. Watch for vacancy loosening or yield compression over the next quarter.
STALL RISK40%
Suburb Profile
Herne Hill at a Glance
SEIFA Index
8/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$1,752/wk
Median household
Median Age
37
Years
Mortgage Stress
26%
of income
Population Growth
+2.7%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
23.0%owned34.4%mortgage40.0%renting
Demographic Trends
Herne Hill Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Herne Hill Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Herne Hill as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Herne Hill and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Herne Hill?
The current median house price in Herne Hill, vic is $806K, with annual growth of +5.2%. Properties sell in approximately 23 days.
How fast do properties sell in Herne Hill?
Properties in Herne Hill sell in 23 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is faster than the national average, indicating strong buyer demand.
What is the growth outlook for Herne Hill?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Herne Hill's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Herne Hill?
The gross rental yield for houses in Herne Hill is 3.7%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).