Atlaso rates Essendon houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.05%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Melbourne.
At $1.76M, Essendon ranks #238 of 263 houses in Melbourne. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Short-term momentum is accelerating.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Melbourne.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
+0.8%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+11.4%
Rents (12mo)
1.2%
Vacancy
51%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.84M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$882/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3040.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
73% stall probability
Essendon has been running at 35.8% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK73%
Suburb Profile
Essendon at a Glance
SEIFA Index
10/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$2,199/wk
Median household
Median Age
39
Years
Mortgage Stress
25%
of income
Population Growth
+0.9%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
29.3%owned31.3%mortgage36.7%renting
Demographic Trends
Essendon Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Essendon Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Essendon as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Essendon and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Essendon?
The current median house price in Essendon, vic is $1.76M, with annual growth of +1.2%. Properties sell in approximately 27 days.
How fast do properties sell in Essendon?
Properties in Essendon sell in 27 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Essendon?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Essendon's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Essendon?
The gross rental yield for houses in Essendon is 2.6%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).