Atlaso rates Carseldine houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.86%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Brisbane.
At $1.14M, Carseldine ranks #100 of 256 houses in Brisbane. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Properties sell in just 21 days, reflecting urgent buyer demand.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Brisbane.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
+2.8%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+6.4%
Rents (12mo)
0.7%
Vacancy
54%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.27M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$757/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 4034.
Momentum Health
Monitor
40% stall probability
Carseldine is growing at 17.6% annually but early warning signals are appearing. Watch for vacancy loosening or yield compression over the next quarter.
STALL RISK40%
Suburb Profile
Carseldine at a Glance
SEIFA Index
7/10
Above average
Household Income
$1,808/wk
Median household
Median Age
39
Years
Mortgage Stress
24%
of income
Population Growth
+0.9%
vs state +1.8%
Ownership Mix
29.2%owned29.5%mortgage38.6%renting
Demographic Trends
Carseldine Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Carseldine Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Carseldine as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Carseldine and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Carseldine?
The current median house price in Carseldine, qld is $1.14M, with annual growth of +9.5%. Properties sell in approximately 21 days.
How fast do properties sell in Carseldine?
Properties in Carseldine sell in 21 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is faster than the national average, indicating strong buyer demand.
What is the growth outlook for Carseldine?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Carseldine's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Carseldine?
The gross rental yield for houses in Carseldine is 3.3%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).