Carrum Downs — Units

NEUTRAL
VIC 3201 Unit Rank #177 of 206 in Melbourne
$705K
Median Unit Price · recent comparable sales
DEMAND LIQUIDITY AFFORD GROWTH YIELD SUPPLY
VERDICT
NEUTRAL
DEMAND
53 buyers/listing
Strong
LIQUIDITY
15d DOM
Strong
AFFORDABILITY
11.8% vs 5yr
Neutral
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Average
Neutral
YIELD
4.3%
Strong
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.5% vacancy
Strong
#177/206 Average Structure 70 $705K

Atlaso rates Carrum Downs units as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.5%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better units options may be available in Melbourne.

At $705K, Carrum Downs ranks #177 of 206 units in Melbourne. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Prices grew 8.4% over the past year.

OPPORTUNITY ENGINE

Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.

5 stronger-positioned units identified in Melbourne.

Carrum Downs Price History

All units · monthly median sale price

Market Intelligence

What's Happening Now

Shifting to Buyers Early signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
+1.8%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+4.6%
Rents (12mo)
0.7%
Vacancy
54%
Fresh Stock (<30d)

Unit Asking Prices (12 months)

$644K

Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)

$545/wk

Vacancy Rate (24 months)

--- 1.5% tight --- 3.0% loose

Listing Age (12 months)

Fresh (<30d) 30-60d 60-90d 90-180d 180d+

Data for postcode 3201.

Suburb Profile

Carrum Downs at a Glance

SEIFA Index
4/10
Average
Household Income
$1,658/wk
Median household
Median Age
36
Years
Mortgage Stress
24%
of income
Population Growth
-0.5%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
22.4% owned 41.4% mortgage 33.1% renting

Demographic Trends

Carrum Downs Over Time

Median Household Income (Census)

Population Growth Rate (Census)

Dwelling Composition (Census)

Rental Yield History

Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.

Full Carrum Downs Analysis

Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.

3-Year Structural Outlook Strong
Conviction Level High
Fair Value Gap X.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price $X,XXX,XXX
Gross Yield X.X%
Weekly Rent $XXX
SEIFA Decile X/10
Building Approvals XX dwellings

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carrum Downs a good suburb to invest in?
Atlaso rates Carrum Downs as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Carrum Downs and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Carrum Downs?
The current median house price in Carrum Downs, vic is $705K, with annual growth of +8.2%. Properties sell in approximately 15 days.
How fast do properties sell in Carrum Downs?
Properties in Carrum Downs sell in 15 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is faster than the national average, indicating strong buyer demand.
What is the growth outlook for Carrum Downs?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Carrum Downs's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Carrum Downs?
The gross rental yield for houses in Carrum Downs is 4.3%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.

Want to compare suburbs?

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Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).