Extremely low vacancy signals structural undersupply in the rental market, creating long-term price pressure.
VERDICT
STRONG BUY
Rental Pressure Market
DEMAND
48 buyers/listing
Strong↑
LIQUIDITY
76d DOM
Weak↓
AFFORDABILITY
-20.0% vs 5yr
Strong↑
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Strong
Strong↑
YIELD
2.4%
Weak↓
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.4% vacancy
Strong↑
#1/32StrongStructure 76$1.49MTop 2.4% nationally
Atlaso rates Barwon Heads houses as STRONG BUY, our highest conviction rating. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.39%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, and prices remain 20% below their 5-year trend, suggesting room for recovery. Historically, 90% of suburbs we rate STRONG BUY grew more than 8% annually.
At $1.49M, Barwon Heads ranks #1 of 32 houses in Geelong. The long-term structural outlook is Strong. Buyer demand is strong with 48 buyers per listing.
Barwon Heads Price History
All houses · monthly median sale price
Market Intelligence
What's Happening Now
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
-3.1%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+45.3%
Rents (12mo)
2.5%
Vacancy ↑
17%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.61M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$948/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3227.
Suburb Profile
Barwon Heads at a Glance
SEIFA Index
10/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$2,228/wk
Median household
Median Age
47
Years
Mortgage Stress
23%
of income
Population Growth
+3.3%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
42.6%owned35.7%mortgage16.7%renting
Demographic Trends
Barwon Heads Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Barwon Heads Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Barwon Heads as STRONG BUY confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Barwon Heads and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Barwon Heads?
The current median house price in Barwon Heads, vic is $1.49M, with annual growth of +33.0%. Properties sell in approximately 76 days.
How fast do properties sell in Barwon Heads?
Properties in Barwon Heads sell in 76 days on average. The market is currently rated Strong. This is slower than average, which may present opportunities for negotiation.
What is the growth outlook for Barwon Heads?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Barwon Heads's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Barwon Heads?
The gross rental yield for houses in Barwon Heads is 2.4%. This is below average, typical of capital-growth focused suburbs where prices have outpaced rents.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).