Atlaso rates Balwyn units as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.03%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better units options may be available in Melbourne.
At $858K, Balwyn ranks #29 of 206 units in Melbourne. The long-term structural outlook is Average. Prices remain 20% below their 5-year trend, suggesting room for recovery.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned units identified in Melbourne.
Buyer's MarketStock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
-37.6%
Asking Prices (3mo)
-9.3%
Rents (12mo)
1.8%
Vacancy
59%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$710K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$648/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3103.
Momentum Health
Room to run
29% stall probability
Balwyn is growing at 16.3% annually with no signs of slowing. Vacancy remains tight and the suburb has not yet reached its affordability ceiling relative to Melbourne.
STALL RISK29%
Suburb Profile
Balwyn at a Glance
SEIFA Index
10/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$2,014/wk
Median household
Median Age
43
Years
Mortgage Stress
34%
of income (stressed)
Population Growth
-0.3%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
41.5%owned28.4%mortgage27.0%renting
Demographic Trends
Balwyn Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Balwyn Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Balwyn as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Balwyn and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Balwyn?
The current median house price in Balwyn, vic is $858K, with annual growth of +11.7%. Properties sell in approximately 27 days.
How fast do properties sell in Balwyn?
Properties in Balwyn sell in 27 days on average. The market is currently rated Average. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Balwyn?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Balwyn's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Balwyn?
The gross rental yield for houses in Balwyn is 3.8%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).