Atlaso rates Ardeer units as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy remains tight at 1.35%, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better units options may be available in Melbourne.
At $549K, Ardeer ranks #177 of 206 units in Melbourne. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Prices grew 27.5% over the past year, showing strong momentum.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned units identified in Melbourne.
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
-19.9%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+5.2%
Rents (12mo)
1.1%
Vacancy ↓
65%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
Unit Asking Prices (12 months)
$536K
Unit Weekly Rents (12 months)
$549/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 3022.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
50% stall probability
Ardeer has been running at 27.5% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK50%
Suburb Profile
Ardeer at a Glance
SEIFA Index
2/10
Below average
Household Income
$1,452/wk
Median household
Median Age
37
Years
Mortgage Stress
27%
of income
Population Growth
-1.8%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
17.3%owned37.0%mortgage39.6%renting
Demographic Trends
Ardeer Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Ardeer Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
Free · No credit card required
Want multi-horizon structural outlook, full rankings, and comparison tools?
Atlaso rates Ardeer as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Ardeer and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Ardeer?
The current median house price in Ardeer, vic is $549K, with annual growth of +4.1%. Properties sell in approximately 55 days.
How fast do properties sell in Ardeer?
Properties in Ardeer sell in 55 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is slower than average, which may present opportunities for negotiation.
What is the growth outlook for Ardeer?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Ardeer's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Ardeer?
The gross rental yield for houses in Ardeer is 4.6%. This is above the national average, making it attractive for yield-focused investors.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).