Atlaso rates Alfords Point houses as HOLD. Average growth outlook. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.64%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium, but conviction is not high enough for a BUY rating. Better houses options may be available in Sydney.
At $1.79M, Alfords Point ranks #355 of 433 houses in Sydney. The long-term structural outlook is Weak. Buyer demand is strong with 76 buyers per listing.
OPPORTUNITY ENGINE
Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.
5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Sydney.
Shifting to BuyersEarly signs of easing. Monitor for entry.
+14.7%
Asking Prices (3mo)
-6.8%
Rents (12mo)
0.8%
Vacancy ↑
51%
Fresh Stock (<30d)
House Asking Prices (12 months)
$1.91M
House Weekly Rents (12 months)
$1,092/wk
Vacancy Rate (24 months)
--- 1.5% tight--- 3.0% loose
Listing Age (12 months)
Fresh (<30d)30-60d60-90d90-180d180d+
Data for postcode 2234.
Momentum Health
Elevated risk
65% stall probability
Alfords Point has been running at 28.3% growth but multiple stall indicators are present. Vacancy may be loosening, yield is compressing, or the suburb has caught up to city pricing. Consider taking partial profits.
STALL RISK65%
Suburb Profile
Alfords Point at a Glance
SEIFA Index
10/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$2,743/wk
Median household
Median Age
41
Years
Mortgage Stress
23%
of income
Population Growth
-2.6%
vs state +1.4%
Ownership Mix
44.3%owned43.1%mortgage11.2%renting
Demographic Trends
Alfords Point Over Time
Median Household Income (Census)
Population Growth Rate (Census)
Dwelling Composition (Census)
Rental Yield History
Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.
Full Alfords Point Analysis
Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.
3-Year Structural OutlookStrong
Conviction LevelHigh
Fair Value GapX.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price$X,XXX,XXX
Gross YieldX.X%
Weekly Rent$XXX
SEIFA DecileX/10
Building ApprovalsXX dwellings
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Atlaso rates Alfords Point as HOLD confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Alfords Point and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Alfords Point?
The current median house price in Alfords Point, nsw is $1.79M, with annual growth of +2.3%. Properties sell in approximately 27 days.
How fast do properties sell in Alfords Point?
Properties in Alfords Point sell in 27 days on average. The market is currently rated Weak. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Alfords Point?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Alfords Point's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Alfords Point?
The gross rental yield for houses in Alfords Point is 3.2%. This is in line with the broader market average.
Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).