Upper Ferntree Gully — Houses

BUY
VIC 3156 House Rank #25 of 263 in Melbourne
$896K
Median House Price · recent comparable sales
Rental Pressure Market #25 of 263

Extremely low vacancy signals structural undersupply in the rental market, creating long-term price pressure.

DEMAND LIQUIDITY AFFORD GROWTH YIELD SUPPLY
VERDICT
BUY
Rental Pressure Market
DEMAND
201 buyers/listing
Strong
LIQUIDITY
26d DOM
Neutral
AFFORDABILITY
-3.8% vs 5yr
Neutral
GROWTH OUTLOOK
Good
Strong
YIELD
3.6%
Neutral
SUPPLY PRESSURE
0.8% vacancy
Strong
#25/263 Good Structure 54 $896K

Atlaso rates Upper Ferntree Gully houses as BUY for capital growth. Vacancy is extremely tight at 0.81%, well below the 2.5% equilibrium. 66% of BUY-rated suburbs grew more than 8% in our validated testing.

At $896K, Upper Ferntree Gully ranks #25 of 263 houses in Melbourne. The long-term structural outlook is Good. Properties sell in 26 days.

OPPORTUNITY ENGINE

Structural opportunity remains selective at this price level.

5 stronger-positioned houses identified in Melbourne.

Upper Ferntree Gully Price History

All houses · monthly median sale price

Market Intelligence

What's Happening Now

Buyer's Market Stock rising, prices softening. Buyers have leverage.
-13.0%
Asking Prices (3mo)
+6.8%
Rents (12mo)
0.6%
Vacancy
51%
Fresh Stock (<30d)

House Asking Prices (12 months)

$961K

House Weekly Rents (12 months)

$641/wk

Vacancy Rate (24 months)

--- 1.5% tight --- 3.0% loose

Listing Age (12 months)

Fresh (<30d) 30-60d 60-90d 90-180d 180d+

Data for postcode 3156.

Suburb Profile

Upper Ferntree Gully at a Glance

SEIFA Index
8/10
Most advantaged
Household Income
$1,948/wk
Median household
Median Age
40
Years
Mortgage Stress
24%
of income
Population Growth
+0.0%
vs state +2.2%
Ownership Mix
33.1% owned 45.5% mortgage 18.9% renting

Demographic Trends

Upper Ferntree Gully Over Time

Median Household Income (Census)

Population Growth Rate (Census)

Dwelling Composition (Census)

Rental Yield History

Census data: ABS. Yield series: weekly market data.

Full Upper Ferntree Gully Analysis

Access the full structural analysis, fair value estimate, bedroom-level pricing, and supply intelligence.

3-Year Structural Outlook Strong
Conviction Level High
Fair Value Gap X.X% undervalued
3-Bed House Price $X,XXX,XXX
Gross Yield X.X%
Weekly Rent $XXX
SEIFA Decile X/10
Building Approvals XX dwellings

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Upper Ferntree Gully a good suburb to invest in?
Atlaso rates Upper Ferntree Gully as BUY confidence for capital growth. In our out-of-sample testing, 90% of our STRONG BUY suburbs grew more than 8% annually. Our model analyses price trends, volume, demographics, and market conditions across Upper Ferntree Gully and 46 Australian cities to generate this rating.
What is the median house price in Upper Ferntree Gully?
The current median house price in Upper Ferntree Gully, vic is $896K, with annual growth of +17.1%. Properties sell in approximately 26 days.
How fast do properties sell in Upper Ferntree Gully?
Properties in Upper Ferntree Gully sell in 26 days on average. The market is currently rated Good. This is in line with the broader market.
What is the growth outlook for Upper Ferntree Gully?
Atlaso's model analyses 23 structural signals including price history, volume trends, yields, and vacancy to rate Upper Ferntree Gully's growth potential. The model predicts whether a suburb is likely to outperform, not by how much. Our ratings have been validated across 46 Australian cities, with 90% of top-rated suburbs growing more than 8% a year.
What is the rental yield in Upper Ferntree Gully?
The gross rental yield for houses in Upper Ferntree Gully is 3.6%. This is in line with the broader market average.

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Important: Atlaso provides general research information only and does not constitute personal financial advice, property advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any property. Suburb scores, growth ratings, rental yield estimates, and market signals are based on quantitative models using historical data. They are not guarantees of future performance. Property values can fall as well as rise. You should seek independent licensed financial and property advice before making any investment decision. Atlaso Pty Ltd (ABN 84 696 036 469) is not a licensed financial adviser and does not hold an Australian Financial Services Licence (AFSL).